Fall 2024 (50th edition)

Issue 50 · analyzed

35 ideas

position long inconclusive
WOSG Watches of Switzerland Group PLC

Chris Waller runs a concentrated portfolio and holds a long position in Watches of Switzerland, indicating his belief in the company's growth potential in the luxury watch market.

position long inconclusive
SEG Seaport Entertainment Group

Chris Waller has a long position in Seaport Entertainment Group, suggesting confidence in its business model and future profitability in the entertainment sector.

position long inconclusive
LMB Limbach Holdings, Inc.

Elie Mishaan holds a long position in Limbach Holdings, reflecting his focus on companies with strong management engagement and growth prospects in the construction and engineering sector.

position long inconclusive
VRT Vertiv Holdings Co

Elie Mishaan's long position in Vertiv indicates his belief in the company's potential to capitalize on the growing demand for data center infrastructure and services.

position long inconclusive
SPOT Spotify Technology S.A.

David Baron holds a long position in Spotify, suggesting confidence in its ability to grow its user base and monetize its platform effectively in the competitive streaming market.

position long inconclusive
ONON On Holding AG

David Baron's long position in On Holding reflects his belief in the company's innovative approach to athletic footwear and its potential for market expansion.

position long inconclusive
null SpaceX

David Baron’s long position in SpaceX indicates a strong belief in the company's future growth and its pivotal role in the aerospace industry.

pitch long failed
-11.3%
VVV Valvoline, Inc.
2024 Pershing Square Challenge

The thesis presented by Jared Duda, Joe Ferguson, and Garret Wallis focuses on Valvoline, Inc. as a strong long investment due to its solid market position and growth potential in the automotive services sector.

pitch long worked
+116.5%
BLBD BlueBird Corporation
2024 Darden at Virginia Investing Challenge

The team of Erik Listoe, Daniel Sohn, and Yifan Wang argues that BlueBird Corporation presents a compelling long investment opportunity due to its innovative product offerings and favorable market dynamics.

position long inconclusive
NVO Novo Nordisk

Nadim Rizk mentioned owning shares in Novo Nordisk, highlighting its strong fundamentals and growth prospects in the pharmaceutical sector, particularly in diabetes care.

position long inconclusive
TSMC Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company

Nadim Rizk noted his position in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, citing its critical role in the global semiconductor supply chain and robust demand for chips.

position long inconclusive
MCO Moody's Corporation

Nadim Rizk discussed his investment in Moody's Corporation, emphasizing its strong market position and consistent revenue growth in the financial services sector.

pitch long failed
-14.0%
VVV Valvoline Inc.
2024 Pershing Square Challenge

Valvoline is positioned to capitalize on significant growth opportunities in the automotive services market, with a target of expanding its store count from 1,800 to over 3,500. The company's strong unit economics, disci…

position long inconclusive
SPXC SPX Corporation

The investor has followed SPX Corporation for many years and has a lot of conviction in the company's management and its position in the HVAC space.

position long inconclusive
SPOT Spotify Technology S.A.

Spotify is a strong platform with a well-known brand that continues to invest in improving its services. With a large base of 600 million subscribers, there is significant potential to convert the 400 million free users …

position long inconclusive
ON On Holding AG

On Holding operates in a large market with significant growth potential, especially as it focuses on enhancing athletic performance and expanding into new activities. With Nike's growth stagnating, On has the opportunity…

position long inconclusive
SPACE SpaceX

SpaceX has a strong cash flow and balance sheet, with significant growth potential in both its launch and Starlink businesses. The company's ability to reduce launch costs and leverage its monopoly position in the market…

position long inconclusive
NVO Novo Nordisk A/S

Novo Nordisk has disrupted the diabetes treatment market with its GLP-1 drugs, which have created a larger market opportunity despite impacting its own insulin business. The company has consistently generated strong fina…

position long inconclusive
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company

Taiwan Semiconductor has evolved from a good business to an incredible company over time, similar to Novo Nordisk. The company is a leader in semiconductor manufacturing, which positions it well for future growth as dema…

position long inconclusive
MCO Moody's Corporation

Moody's operates in a duopoly with S&P, providing a highly sticky business model that offers significant ROI for clients through cost savings on bond issuance. This creates a strong incentive for companies to seek rating…

position long inconclusive
VVV Valvoline, Inc.

Garrett mentioned Valvoline, Inc. as a stock he is considering, indicating a positive outlook on the company's performance.

pitch long worked
+87.6%
BLBD Blue Bird Corporation
2024 Darden at Virginia Investing Challenge

We recommend a BUY for Blue Bird Corporation (NASDAQ: BLBD) with a base-case price target of $65, implying a 16.1% IRR through 2027. The company is positioned to benefit from structural tailwinds in the North American sc…

position long inconclusive
TRRVF TerraVest Industries Inc.

TerraVest is a Canadian small cap business in the storage tank sector that has generated returns on capital of about 25%. With a third of the company owned by insiders and management demonstrating high integrity and stro…

pitch long inconclusive
WOSG Watches of Switzerland Group PLC
null

Watches of Switzerland is a leading retailer in the luxury watch market, particularly with Rolex, and has shown significant growth potential, especially in the US market where it has grown 30% annually over the last five…

pitch long inconclusive
+7.5%
SEG Seaport Entertainment Group
null

Seaport Entertainment Group is a spinoff from Howard Hughes, which has been weighed down by less desirable assets. The company is currently undervalued at $25 per share, especially with Pershing Square backstopping the r…

position long inconclusive
WOSG WOSG
null

WOSG has a strong partnership with Rolex, generating high returns on capital. The company should focus on expanding its Rolex business rather than diversifying into lower-return areas. Acquiring smaller businesses with R…

pitch long inconclusive
IBP Installed Building Products, Inc.
null

Installed Building Products is an installer of residential insulation with a compelling growth story driven by management's ability to roll up the industry. The company has shown resilience through temporary decreases in…

position long inconclusive
LMB Limbach Holdings Inc.
null

Limbach Holdings caught our attention due to a management transition with the promotion of Mike McCann to CEO. The company, with a market cap of about $300M, fits our investment criteria in the SMID cap space, where we s…

pitch long worked
+172.5%
LMB Limbach Holdings, Inc.
null

Limbach is transitioning its revenue mix from low-margin general contracting to higher-margin owner direct relationships, which has already improved profitability. With a strong balance sheet and a strategy to roll up sm…

position long inconclusive
VRT Vertiv Holdings Co.
null

Vertiv has a leading market share in power distribution and thermal management products, with significant margin expansion opportunities under the guidance of experienced management. The company is well-positioned in a g…

position long inconclusive
VRT Vertiv Holdings Co.

Rudi van Niekerk from Desert Lion Capital believes in the long-term growth potential of VRT due to its strong management team led by Dave Cote, who is focused on improving operational efficiencies and driving margin expa…

position long inconclusive
LMB LMB

Rudi van Niekerk mentioned increasing exposure to LMB as part of a strategy to allocate capital to companies with strong value drivers, indicating confidence in its performance relative to other investments.

position long inconclusive
SPXC SPX Corporation

Elie Mishaan from Bryant Street Capital sold SPXC because its multiple exceeded their view of fair value, but he acknowledges that it has performed well since the sale, indicating a strong underlying business despite the…

position long inconclusive
SPOT Spotify Technology S.A.

Spotify is founder-led with Dan Ek holding a 15% ownership stake, aligning his interests with those of investors. The company is expected to achieve over 20% revenue growth, and despite perceptions of operating in a comm…

pitch long inconclusive
ON On Holding AG
Pershing Square Challenge

On is currently undervalued at 15-16x EBITDA, while its growth rate is significantly higher than that of competitors like Nike. With expected valuation at 30-35x EBITDA due to its strong growth and founder-led management…