Spring 2019

Issue 36 · analyzed

31 ideas

pitch long worked
+398.1%
DOL Dollarama Inc.
2019 Pershing Square Challenge

The team recommended a long position in Dollarama with friendly activism, believing that the company has significant growth potential and can enhance shareholder value through strategic initiatives.

pitch long
DF Dean Foods Company
UCLA Credit Competition

The team pitched a long position on Dean Foods' 6.50% Senior Unsecured debt, highlighting the potential for recovery and value in the distressed debt market.

position long inconclusive
BKI Black Knight, Inc.

Yen Liow mentioned Black Knight as one of his durable compounders, indicating confidence in its long-term growth and market position.

position long inconclusive
GDDY GoDaddy Inc.

Yen Liow highlighted GoDaddy as a durable compounder, suggesting it has strong growth potential in the domain registration and web hosting market.

position long inconclusive
TDG TransDigm Group Incorporated

Yen Liow mentioned TransDigm as a durable compounder, reflecting confidence in its business model and growth trajectory in the aerospace sector.

position long inconclusive
CSU Constellation Software Inc.

Yen Liow referred to Constellation Software as a durable compounder, indicating belief in its ability to generate consistent growth and value.

position long inconclusive
BKI Black Knight, Inc.

Black Knight has a near monopolistic position in mortgage servicing software with strong pricing power and low churn. The company benefits from a regulatory environment that increases compliance costs for competitors, en…

position long inconclusive
CHTR Charter Communications, Inc.

Charter Communications is a valuable asset as a content-agnostic provider of high-speed internet, which is hard to replicate. The company is expected to grow free cash flow per share at 30% for years.

pitch long worked
+364.9%
DOL Dollarama Inc.
2019 Pershing Square Challenge

We recommend a long position in Dollarama due to its potential for significant growth through store expansion and operational improvements, including adopting zone pricing and optimizing its logistics network. The propos…

pitch long
DF Dean Foods Company
2018 CSIMA Stock Pitch Challenge

We recommend buying DF 6.50% 2023 Senior Unsecured bonds at the current price of $66 due to Dean Foods' accelerating cost-cutting initiatives, long-term industry demand stabilization, overlooked growth opportunities, and…

position long inconclusive
TDG TransDigm Group Incorporated

TransDigm operates in the aftermarket aerospace components sector, which has extremely high barriers to entry due to FAA regulations. This creates a subscription-like revenue model as they provide parts for the long life…

position long inconclusive
CSU Constellation Software Inc.

Constellation Software is a serial acquirer in the vertical market software space, characterized by high barriers to entry and low churn. The company has demonstrated exceptional capital allocation skills, compounding at…

position long inconclusive
GDDY GoDaddy Inc.

GoDaddy has a strong customer care team that acts as a profit center and is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing need for businesses to establish an online presence. With only 18.5 million customers out of an est…

pitch long inconclusive
DOL Dollarama Inc.
null

We are recommending a long in Dollarama with friendly activism, projecting a 4-year price target of C$81.5, representing +97% upside and an 18% IRR. Dollarama is the largest dollar store chain in Canada with a significan…

pitch long inconclusive
ALGN Align Technology, Inc.
null

ALGN is a highly innovative technology company with a strong competitive advantage due to its patented processes and significant market share in the clear aligner space. Despite recent patent expirations leading to incre…

pitch long worked
+21.5%
CAR Carsales.com Ltd

Carsales.com Ltd is positioned to benefit from its dominant online platform in the Australian auto market, which has strong network effects and high EBITDA margins. Despite recent economic challenges, the company's core …

position long inconclusive
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc.

Amazon has a booming business model with a significant portion of its revenue coming from marketplace products sold by third parties, which allows for high gross profit margins. Additionally, their Web Services division …

position long inconclusive
MA MasterCard Incorporated

MasterCard has been a long-term holding for Stewart Asset Management, indicating confidence in its business model and growth potential. The firm has owned MasterCard since its IPO, suggesting a strong belief in its abili…

position long inconclusive
RH Restoration Hardware

Restoration Hardware is innovating in the retail space by creating destination stores that attract customers, which is a unique approach compared to traditional retail. Despite concerns about their debt and slower sales …

position long inconclusive
ADP Automatic Data Processing, Inc.

ADP is a well-managed company with a strong market position in payroll and HR services, generating recurring revenue. Although growth is expected to be slower due to its size, the company is still projected to double its…

position long inconclusive
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation

Costco has been a major position for years due to its strong business model, which includes a significant portion of profits from membership fees. This recurring revenue stream is a key factor in its attractiveness as an…

position long inconclusive
WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc.

Williams-Sonoma appears to be successfully navigating the retail landscape, suggesting it may be insulated from Amazon's competition. This resilience in a changing market presents a potential investment opportunity.

position long failed
-9.9%
DIS The Walt Disney Company

We recently increased our position in Disney, which looks like it could be a relatively slow grower yet is still a very strong company. They have their basic growth business with movies and parks that generates a lot of …

position long inconclusive
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation

Costco has reached a global scale and shares the benefits of that scale with its consumers, making it hard to compete against. With a gross margin of 12% and a net margin of 2%, it operates efficiently in a competitive m…

position long inconclusive
GIVN Givaudan SA

Givaudan is the world's dominant flavors and fragrances company, which has unexpectedly high switching costs and is critical for products like yogurt, making it a profitable business.

position long inconclusive
SPX Spirax-Sarco Engineering plc

Spirax-Sarco, which makes steam traps, has a margin comparable to Apple's and is considered an iconic business due to its trifecta business model.

position long inconclusive
TREX Trex Company, Inc.

Trex, which makes plastic decking, has impressive financial metrics with a return on assets of 27% and return on equity of 47%, both of which are increasing, indicating strong business performance.

position long inconclusive
KNEBF Kone Oyj

Kone, a Finnish elevator company, profits mainly from maintenance contracts, making it a very profitable business model, especially outside of China where capital equipment sales dominate.

position long inconclusive
GE General Electric Company

John Hempton is instinctively long on GE, indicating a belief in its potential despite negative sell-side opinions.

position short failed
+78.1%
VRX Valeant Pharmaceuticals International, Inc.

Valeant was trading at 10x revenue despite making a loss, with adjusted accounting claiming a 55% margin. The company was involved in unethical practices, and despite being well-funded, it was expected to go bust due to …

position long inconclusive
HLF Herbalife Ltd.

Herbalife operates on a business model that combines physical goods with social reassurance, leading to high retention rates among distributors. The retention rate has improved from 49% to about 65%, indicating a strong …