Winter 2019

Issue 35 · analyzed

22 ideas

position long inconclusive
TCEHY Tencent Holdings Limited

Damon Ficklin and Jeff Mueller discuss their investment in Tencent, highlighting its strong position in the changing consumer landscape in China.

position long inconclusive
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited

Damon Ficklin and Jeff Mueller mention Alibaba as part of their investment strategy, reflecting confidence in its growth potential despite market challenges.

position long inconclusive
ADBE Adobe Inc.

Adobe is discussed as a key investment by Damon Ficklin and Jeff Mueller, indicating their belief in its strong business model and growth prospects.

position long inconclusive
SBUX Starbucks Corporation

Starbucks is mentioned by Damon Ficklin and Jeff Mueller as a part of their portfolio, suggesting confidence in its brand strength and market position.

position long inconclusive
ALGN Align Technology, Inc.

Damon Ficklin and Jeff Mueller include Align Technology in their discussions, indicating a positive outlook on its growth and innovation in the dental industry.

position long inconclusive
CTRA Contura Energy, Inc.

Dov Gertzulin mentions Contura Energy as a position, reflecting his focus on middle market opportunities and potential for recovery in the energy sector.

position long inconclusive
TPCA Tropicana Entertainment, LLC

Dov Gertzulin discusses Tropicana Entertainment as part of his investment strategy, indicating a focus on special situations in the gaming and hospitality sector.

position long inconclusive
TRVW Twin River Worldwide Holdings, Inc.

Dov Gertzulin includes Twin River Worldwide in his discussions, suggesting a belief in its potential for growth and recovery in the gaming industry.

pitch long
LGF Lions Gate Entertainment Corp.
Pershing Square Challenge

Lions Gate Entertainment is undervalued due to its strong content library and growth potential in streaming services. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the shift towards digital consumption, and its recent …

pitch long
LGF Lions Gate Entertainment Corp.
2018 CSIMA Stock Pitch Challenge

Lionsgate is positioned for significant growth due to its strong content library and the upcoming scarcity of content in the market. The company is expected to reach 7 million subscribers by 2021, driven by international…

pitch long failed
-55.7%
JWN Nordstrom, Inc.
null

We are long Nordstrom with a price target of $94, representing 46% upside on 11/12/2018’s price of $64.30. Despite common perception, Nordstrom is not only a traditional department store, but it also generates over 50% o…

pitch long failed
-55.7%
JWN Nordstrom, Inc.
null

Nordstrom is undervalued compared to its peers, trading at a six-turn valuation discount despite better performance and growth opportunities in the off-price segment through Nordstrom Rack. The company is expected to gen…

pitch long
LGF Lions Gate Entertainment Corp.
null

Lions Gate is positioned to benefit from the streaming service market as a complement to larger services like Netflix and Hulu, with its Starz segment offering a low-cost option targeting underserved demographics. The co…

position long inconclusive
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited

Alibaba is a dominant player in the Chinese e-commerce market and is well-aligned with China's strategic direction towards a consumer-driven economy. The company has significant growth potential as China's middle class e…

position short inconclusive
JD JD.com, Inc.

JD is a direct competitor to Alibaba but is heavily weighted towards a low-margin, capital-intensive business model. While JD has advantages in logistics, Alibaba's dominance and reinvestment strategies position it bette…

position long inconclusive
TCEHY Tencent Holdings Limited

Tencent is another high-growth company that is part of Polen's investment strategy. Its strong fundamentals justify its higher valuation, and it is expected to continue growing at a significant rate.

position long inconclusive
ADBE Adobe Inc.

Adobe is a top holding due to its competitive advantage and strong opportunity for reinvestment at high incremental returns. The transition to a subscription model has made revenue more predictable and sustainable, allow…

position long inconclusive
SBUX Starbucks Corporation

Starbucks is expected to continue growth from both the US and China, with a strong established position in China despite short-term headwinds. The strategy of opening more stores rather than optimizing for same-store sal…

position long inconclusive
ALGN Align Technology, Inc.

Despite a recent hiccup in performance due to disappointing promotions and new competitors, Align Technology is well-positioned for long-term growth. The brand equity of Invisalign is likened to that of Botox, suggesting…

position long inconclusive
CTRA Contura Energy, Inc.

Contura Energy is the largest metallurgical coal company in the US, formed during the bankruptcy of Alpha Natural Resources. The shares trade at about 2.5x estimated EBITDA and 3.5-4x free cash flow, which is considered …

position long inconclusive
DDE Dover Downs Gaming & Entertainment, Inc.

DG Capital Management owns Twin Rivers, which is merging with Dover Downs. Twin Rivers has shown incredible financial performance and operates leading casinos, making it an attractive investment as it lists on the NYSE.

position long
Tropicana Entertainment

In 2018, DG Capital Management held post-reorg equity in Tropicana, which was trading at a significant discount to peers despite generating great cash flow and having almost no net debt. The company was seen as a prime a…