Winter 2018

Issue 32 · analyzed

17 ideas

pitch long worked
+277.8%
KMX CarMax, Inc.
null

CarMax has a unique business model for selling used cars that has proven difficult for competitors to replicate. The company is only halfway built out across the U.S., presenting a significant opportunity for growth by p…

pitch long
FDC First Data Corporation
2017 CSIMA Stock Pitch Challenge

First Data Corporation is projected to generate over $6 billion in cumulative free cash flow over the next four years, which will significantly reduce its net debt to EBITDA ratio. This de-leveraging will lead to a re-ra…

position long inconclusive
ADP Automatic Data Processing, Inc.

ADP is one of the greatest success stories in American industry, having grown from a market cap of $10 million to $60 billion. The company earns a 40% return on equity and has a debt-free balance sheet, making it a stron…

position long inconclusive
GOOG Alphabet Inc.

We’ve owned Google since maybe 2010 and recently bought more, as it now constitutes about 10% of Sequoia Fund. We believe Google is a better business growing at a much more rapid rate compared to other mature businesses …

position long worked
+5825.2%
CACC Credit Acceptance Corporation

Credit Acceptance is a lender of last resort for consumers with poor credit looking to buy cars. The company has a unique model that aligns its interests with car dealers, allowing it to effectively manage risk and maint…

position long inconclusive
GOOGL Alphabet Inc.

Google's search engine has proven to be superior to its competitors, making it difficult for new entrants to disrupt its market position. The company is expected to grow at a rate that exceeds GDP growth, and the current…

pitch long failed
-68.9%
SPLS Staples, Inc.
null

We are long Staples 8.5 2025 Senior Unsecured notes which are trading at 91.7 with a YTM of 10.3%. The market has overreacted to the announcement of Amazon Business Prime, dropping the newly issued bonds from 96 to a low…

pitch long inconclusive
SPLS Staples, Inc.
2017 NYU Credit Pitch Competition

Staples is positioned to outperform Amazon in the B2B office supply market due to its dedicated sales team, fixed pricing, and superior customer service. The market has overreacted to Amazon's introduction of Prime membe…

pitch long failed
-81.6%
FLT FleetCor Technologies, Inc.
1st Place - 2017 NYU Credit Pitch Competition

FleetCor Technologies offers an attractive business model with strong network effects and an industry-leading return on invested capital (ROIC). The company is expected to grow revenue by approximately 15% annually over …

pitch long inconclusive
FLT FleetCor Technologies, Inc.

We anticipate the NTM multiple to re-rate to historical levels after FLT proves consistent new customer wins and unaffected retention rates for the next few quarters. Our valuation assumes a two-year holding period with …

pitch long
FDC First Data Corporation

We recommend a long on First Data Corporation with an end of 2020 price target of $39, implying a 128% absolute return and 30% IRR. FDC is a winner in an oligopolistic market with industry leading margins and cash flow, …

position long inconclusive
PH Parker-Hannifin Corporation

Parker-Hannifin is a leader in motion control products and has a substantial aerospace business, which provides stable cash flows and long-term equity duration. The company has been a successful investment for Vulcan Val…

position long inconclusive
ORCL Oracle Corporation

Oracle is in a strong competitive position due to its significant investments in cloud technology, which are beginning to pay off as their earnings growth accelerates. Despite a temporary dip in earnings, the cloud busin…

position long inconclusive
SAP SAP SE

While SAP's strategy is not flawed, it is expected to experience slower growth relative to Oracle due to its lack of investment in cloud technology. At the right price, SAP could be an attractive investment, but currentl…

pitch long
PANA PanaHome Corp.
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PanaHome Corp. is trading at a significant discount, with over 89% of its market cap in cash and zero leverage. The business is valued at just one and a half times earnings ex-cash, and it has strong long-term revenue st…

position long inconclusive
NTDOY Nintendo Co., Ltd.
null

Nintendo was identified as a classic value investment, trading at a mere 20% premium to its cash value when the investment was made. This suggests that the market is undervaluing the company's potential, especially given…

position long inconclusive
PFD Premier Foods plc

We established a sizeable position in Premier Foods after the board poorly rejected a takeover proposal, leading to a significant drop in the stock price. We believe there is potential for a transaction to occur, especia…