Yum China Holdings, Inc.

YUMC pitch long null

Thesis

We recommend a long on Yum China Holdings (YUMC) with a 2-year price target of $45, offering 35% upside from today’s price of $33. We see a bull-case upside of 61% and an attractive upside/downside ratio of 2.7x. We project a 64% EPS upside in the next three years driven by sustainable comparable sales growth and margin expansion opportunities.

Did it work?

partial confidence: medium

The stock has appreciated by 43.9%, which is a significant gain but does not fully meet the 35% upside target within the stated 2-year horizon. While the price movement is positive and aligns with the long thesis, the full potential of the thesis has not yet been realized, particularly regarding the projected EPS growth and the price target of $45.

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