Canadian Natural Resources Limited

CNQ position long Paul Moroz, Mawer

Thesis

Canadian Natural Resources is facing significant liabilities related to its tailing ponds, which could range from CA$2 billion to CA$9 billion or more. This presents a more negative skew in its valuation, making it less attractive compared to other opportunities.

Did it work?

inconclusive confidence: low

Without specific price performance data or a defined time horizon for the thesis, it's difficult to assess whether the thesis has played out. The concerns regarding Canadian Natural Resources' liabilities related to tailing ponds are valid, but without further information on how the market has reacted or any developments in the company's situation, the outcome remains uncertain.

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