Amazon.com, Inc.
Thesis
We previously owned Amazon when it was priced in the $200s, believing it was undervalued compared to brick-and-mortar competitors, but sold too early as it rose to $600.
Did it work?
worked
confidence: medium
The core long thesis — that Amazon was undervalued versus brick-and-mortar competitors — was decisively validated: the stock roughly tripled from the $200s to $600 per the pitch's own account, and has added a further +33.2% since, confirming the bullish direction. The investor's premature sale at $600 was an execution error, not a failure of the thesis itself, as the stock continued appreciating afterward. Confidence is tempered only by the unknown time elapsed and the ambiguous baseline for the +33.2% figure.