Netflix, Inc.

NFLX position long Bill Nygren, Harris Associates

Thesis

Netflix is adding approximately 25 million subscribers a year, which adds significant value. The market cap is around $200 billion, and if each subscriber is valued at $1,000, the annual return on spending for customer growth is 12.5%, which is better than potential returns from share buybacks.

Did it work?

inconclusive confidence: low

Without specific price performance data or a defined time frame since the pitch, it's difficult to assess whether the thesis has played out. The subscriber growth claim could still be valid, but without knowing how the market has reacted or the current valuation, we cannot determine the effectiveness of the investment thesis.

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