Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide, Inc.
HOT
position
long
Craig Effron
Thesis
Starwood Hotels was up for sale with a break-up value estimated between $90 and $105. Despite the stock initially dropping to the $60s after the announcement, it rebounded to $75, indicating potential value in the acquisition process.
Did it work?
failed
confidence: high
The stock price has dropped significantly by 64.4% since the pitch, which contradicts the long thesis that anticipated a rebound and value realization through acquisition. The substantial decline indicates that the expected break-up value and acquisition dynamics did not materialize as projected.
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