International Business Machines Corporation

IBM position short Chris Begg

Thesis

The investor sold IBM as they became less comfortable with its long-term competitive advantage in enterprise due to the rise of Amazon AWS, and they prefer investments with multiple ways to win rather than path-dependent outcomes.

Did it work?

inconclusive confidence: low

Without specific price performance data or a defined time frame since the pitch, it's difficult to assess whether the thesis regarding IBM's competitive position has played out. The concerns about IBM's long-term competitive advantage due to AWS are valid, but without further information, we cannot determine the outcome of the investment decision.

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