Netflix, Inc.
Thesis
Gavin Baker believes Netflix is misunderstood by the market, as it has the potential to raise prices significantly while still growing its subscriber base. He argues that normalized margins could exceed 40% and that the company is focused on improving profitability, which could lead to substantial earnings growth in the long term.
Did it work?
No price performance data is available and the time elapsed since the pitch is unknown, so the return component of the long thesis cannot be evaluated. The thesis is a long-term structural argument (pricing power, normalized margins above 40%, substantial earnings growth) whose key claims cannot be confirmed or refuted with the information provided. Without evidence that the margin or earnings targets have been achieved or broken, the appropriate judgement is inconclusive.