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AO Smith Corporation

AOS position long Paul Sonkin

Thesis

AO Smith is acquiring Smith Investment Company for stock, which presents an arbitrage opportunity. The deal involves receiving shares of AO Smith for shares of Smith, and the underlying businesses of Smith Investment Company are also being liquidated, creating additional value.

Did it work?

inconclusive confidence: low

The thesis is a merger-arbitrage play contingent on the AO Smith stock-for-stock acquisition closing and the liquidation of Smith Investment Company's underlying businesses delivering extra value. No price performance or time-elapsed data is provided, and there is no evidence confirming whether the deal closed or the liquidation value was realized. Without either the price outcome or confirmation of the thesis's key events, the result cannot be judged.